News
David Woods, 07 Feb 2012
British and EU policy-makers need to learn a lesson from US jobs data as unemployment there drops below the UK rate, according to the CIPD.
After a prolonged period of 'jobless growth', the US economy is now creating jobs at a healthier pace.
The US unemployment rate, at 8.3%, has for the first time since the start of the financial crisis fallen below the UK rate (8.4%), and is now well below the average 10% plus rate in the euro area.
While US unemployment is on a clear downward path, joblessness is rising in both the UK and mainland Europe, with many forecasters expecting UK unemployment to rise close to 3 million (or 9%) by the end of 2012.
John Philpott, chief economic adviser at the CIPD, said: "Policy-makers in both the UK and EU need to learn the lesson of what might be described as today's 'stimulus-based jobs crossover'. The US jobs market is benefiting from a combination of both fiscal and monetary policy stimulus, in stark contrast to the crude austerity being imposed on the UK and euro economies.
"A dash to deficit reduction in the midst of mounting recessionary forces is the wrong medicine. For the UK, this should mean temporary tax cuts to stimulate consumption and job creation plus directed expenditure on infrastructure projects to inject much-needed demand into a stagnating economy."
3 comments on this article |
Tony Nelson 08 Feb 2012
A very interesting analysis. How come all the money being poured into UK Banks isn't doing what it is intended for eg loans to SMEs rather than funding bonuses? Better indeed to invest that money in real infrastructure projects and slashing taxes on businesses to stimulate growth and jobs.
Richard 08 Feb 2012
US Stimulus: $780 billion US Pop. - 300mil US stimulus spending per capita: $2623.33 //Equivalents// UK pop. - 60mil 2623.33 x 60mil = $157.4 billion = £99billion #uk unemployed: 2.8mil £99billion/2.8mil = £35,357.14 per unemployed capita = 2.8 years full time work at £6.07/hr for the entire unemployed population (minimum wage being £6.08) Budget that at £35billion a year? Let's /not/ follow the same path as America - all that spend and they've barely hit their unemployment rates? Certainly no objections to spending an extra £35billion a year for a few years, but it can be better spent than America's example (and a chunk of it would come out of current unemployment benefit spend too, so having to budget less than £35B) Eliminate our unemployment for 2.8 years for the same price. Unless I've missed something? (and yes, it is a rather quiet day today) P.S. Where to find the jobs? Some manner of civil service.
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