News

Employers freeze plans both to hire and make redundancies in light of continuing economic uncertainty, CIPD reports

David Woods, 14 Nov 2011

shutdown

UK employers are scaling back on all employment-related operations, with fewer organisations planning to offshore jobs abroad and recruit overseas workers against a backdrop of less recruitment and fewer redundancies according to the CIPD autumn Labour Market Outlook report.

The survey of more than 1,000 employers, found employers seem to be hedging their bets on all employment-related decisions in response to the current economic uncertainty.

Hiring intentions - as well as redundancy intentions - have fallen across all sectors compared with recent previous reports.

The proportion of firms intending to hire migrant workers, which has risen steadily in recent consecutive quarters, has also fallen to 19% from 25% during the past three months.

Meanwhile, the proportion of firms planning to offshore jobs to other parts of the world has also decreased to 6% from 10% in the past year. India remains the most popular destination for offshoring, with half of employers surveyed planning to locate some or all of their operations in India. The functions most likely to be offshored are finance and accounts and IT support.

The Labour Market Outlook net employment index measures the difference between the proportion of employers that intend to increase total staffing levels and those that intend to decrease total staffing levels.

It found the employment situation is expected to deteriorate further in the fourth quarter of 2011, with the Labour Market Outlook net employment index having fallen to -3 from -1 in the past three months.

This is the second successive quarterly fall and the lowest net balance since last winter.

Medium-term prospects are no better, with the 12-month index also recording -2. The private sector looks set to grow in the next three months (+20), but at a slower pace than in recent quarters.

Confidence in the public sector remains low (-50) for the next three months and is even lower for the year ahead (-57). Meanwhile, the voluntary sector has seen no movement in net employment intentions for the fourth quarter of 2011, remaining at +7.

Gerwyn Davies, public policy adviser at the CIPD and author of the report, said: "The figures point to a slow, painful contraction in the jobs market.

"Many firms appear to be locked in 'wait and see' mode, with some companies scaling back on all employment decisions against a backdrop of increasing uncertainty as a result of the Eurozone crisis and wider global economic turmoil. The good news resulting from this lull in business activity is that fewer employers are looking to relocate abroad or make redundancies. The downside is that recruitment intentions are falling, which will make further rises in unemployment therefore seem inevitable given that public sector job losses are outpacing the predictions made by the Office for Budget Responsibility. There is no immediate sign of UK labour market conditions improving in the short or medium term."

 

1 comment on this article

Your comment

Click here to comment

Freezing...

Julie Towers 24 Nov 2011

It's not surprising that we are seeing nerves emerge as we run up to the end of the calendar year. There is little economic festive cheer around as we head toward the season of good will, and so the traditional Christmas slow down may well be starting very early! Companies going bust, banks going bust and now potentially countries going bust, is it any wonder employers are holding their breath to see how the turmoil in the economy unfolds. But could doing nothing....neither hiring or firing mean employers pay the price of having to rush either or both tactics in the New Year? Fortunately companies like ours that support the private and public sector quite literally through the 'ins' and 'outs' of recruitment and career transition are becoming adept at responding more quickly to these demands. Lead times in recruitment through targeted search, direct sourcing and immersive, animated assessment using the latest technologies mean we are primed to hire quickly and confidently. And with the ability to put onsite teams in to manage both the HR and employment law elements of sensitive exits and provide effective best practice outplacement programmes to support transitioning employees responding quickly has become the norm. I'm in no doubt that this recession's legacy will be the increased flexibility and speed of organisations (private and public) to respond to challenge and change. HR professionals are usually great in a crisis, so know they will be able to switch recruitment or redundancy on in the new year as their business plans demand; the really clever ones though will be planning for both now.

Latest Issue - May 2012

MA Business & Leisure Limited © Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved